Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Jun 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Castelao
Ceara1 - 2Bahia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Bahia |
| 41.19% | 26.14% | 32.66% |
| Both teams to score 53.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% | 51.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% | 73.15% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% | 24.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.87% | 59.12% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.41% | 65.59% |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 41.2%
Bahia 32.66%
Draw 26.14%
| Ceara | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.66% |
How you voted: Ceara vs Bahia
Ceara
40.0%Draw
40.0%Bahia
20.0%20
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2020 12am
Gameweek 5
Ceara
2-0
Bahia
Jun 8, 2019 11.30pm
Nov 14, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 34
Bahia
2-1
Ceara
