Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Allianz Parque
We said: Palmeiras 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
There has been little to separate Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro in recent meetings, with no more than one goal scored in five of the last seven head-to-heads, and another tight affair could be in store on Thursday.
Both teams will be desperate to return to winning ways and boost their chances of securing a top-four finish, but with neither side firing on all cylinders, they may have to settle for a share of the spoils in Sao Paulo.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.51% . A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 24.54% .
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.94%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.86%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood .
Result Palmeiras Draw Atletico Mineiro 48.51% ( 0.01) 26.95% ( -0) 24.54% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.8% ( -0)
41.63% ( 0) 58.37% ( -0)
21.02% ( 0) 78.98% ( -0)
75.84% ( 0) 24.15% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.53% ( 0.01) 58.47% ( -0.01)
60.39% ( -0.01) 39.61% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.7% ( -0) 76.29% ( 0)
Palmeiras 48.5%
Atletico Mineiro 24.54%
Draw 26.95%
Palmeiras Draw Atletico Mineiro 1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.5% 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.95% 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 24.54%
How you voted: Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
Draw
Atletico Mineiro
21
rhs 2.0
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