MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:07:02| >> :60:316:316:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Arana (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (29')
Menino (62'), Jhon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 30 at 1am in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-4 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Palmeiras

 Atletico Mineiro have been very poor in front of goal in recent weeks, and they have not won in all competitions since the beginning of June, so we cannot see them picking up a positive result on Wednesday evening. Palmeiras have won their last two Brasileiro games, and they are considerably higher than their opponents in the table, so we expect them to record a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
43.68% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 27.42% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 28.9% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (-0.17 -0.17)57.59% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (-0.136 -0.14)78.36% (0.134 0.13)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.11 -0.11)26.17% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)61.25% (0.144 0.14)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.49% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)72.26% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 43.68%
    Palmeiras 28.9%
    Draw 27.41%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.29% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.9%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
Palmeiras
88.9%
9
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Pavon (45')
Silva (24'), Pavon (40'), Coudet (44'), Zaracho (44')
Dudu (52')
Menino (15'), Veiga (45+2'), Vanderlan (90+6')
Sep 29, 2022 1.45am
Gameweek 28
Atletico Mineiro
0-1
Palmeiras
Cerqueira (51')
> Preview
Aug 11, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
 Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties
Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')
Danilo (29'), Scarpa (82')
Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')
> Preview
Aug 4, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Atletico Mineiro
2-2
Palmeiras
> Preview
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Menino (37')
Mariano (33'), Fernandez (37'), Otavio (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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