MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:16:30| >> :60:114:114:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Arana (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (29')
Menino (62'), Jhon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro have been very poor in front of goal in recent weeks, and they have not won in all competitions since the beginning of June, so we cannot see them picking up a positive result on Wednesday evening. Palmeiras have won their last two Brasileiro games, and they are considerably higher than their opponents in the table, so we expect them to record a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
43.68% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 27.42% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 28.9% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41% (-0.17 -0.17)57.59% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (-0.136 -0.14)78.36% (0.134 0.13)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.11 -0.11)26.17% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)61.25% (0.144 0.14)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.49% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)72.26% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 43.68%
    Palmeiras 28.9%
    Draw 27.41%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.29% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.9%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
Palmeiras
88.9%
9
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Pavon (45')
Silva (24'), Pavon (40'), Coudet (44'), Zaracho (44')
Dudu (52')
Menino (15'), Veiga (45+2'), Vanderlan (90+6')
Sep 29, 2022 1.45am
Aug 11, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties
Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')
Danilo (29'), Scarpa (82')
Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')
Aug 4, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Atletico Mineiro
2-2
Palmeiras
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Menino (37')
Mariano (33'), Fernandez (37'), Otavio (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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