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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 78.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
8.66% ( -0.3) | 13.13% ( -0.34) | 78.21% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.33% ( 0.72) | 26.67% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.93% ( 0.91) | 47.07% ( -0.91) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.44% ( -0.05) | 40.56% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.84% ( -0.05) | 77.16% ( 0.05) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.56% ( 0.25) | 5.44% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.72% ( 0.74) | 21.28% ( -0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 8.66% | 1-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.13% | 0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.6% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 5.96% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 3.85% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-5 @ 3.47% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 1.87% ( 0.09) 1-6 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 2-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 5.36% Total : 78.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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