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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
28.41% ( 0.01) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 46.86% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( -0.01) | 47.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( -0.01) | 69.36% ( 0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( 0) | 30.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% ( 0) | 66.56% ( 0) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.83% ( -0) | 20.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.54% ( -0.01) | 52.46% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.41% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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