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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Mainz logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
64.79%18.88%16.33%
Both teams to score 58.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97%35.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97%57.03%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81%10.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.53%33.47%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44%34.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72%71.28%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.79%
    Mainz 05 16.33%
    Draw 18.89%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.43%
3-0 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 4.24%
4-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.94%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.79%
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.89%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-1 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen
91.7%
Draw
5.6%
Mainz 05
2.8%
72
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
Alario (30')
Bender (57')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Alario (93')
Wendell (58')
Wendell (71')
Feb 8, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
1-5
B. Leverkusen
Quaison (9')
Kunde (38'), Quaison (61'), Barreiro (89')
Wendell (5'), Havertz (20'), Brandt (30', 64'), Bellarabi (43')
Bellarabi (38')
Sep 23, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Havertz (62')
Bender (4'), Kohr (68')

Oztunali (72'), Bell (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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