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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 3-1 (5.64%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
46.04% | 21.94% | 32.03% |
Both teams to score 67.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.07% | 31.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.52% | 53.48% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.42% | 14.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.35% | 42.64% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.45% | 20.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.94% | 53.06% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 8.79% 1-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-3 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.49% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 6.95% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-1 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-2 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.45% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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