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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.31% | 22.52% | 51.17% |
Both teams to score 61.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.37% | 38.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.07% | 60.93% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% | 27.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% | 62.99% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% | 15.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.01% | 43.99% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 3.5% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.31% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 5.99% 0-3 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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