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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 19, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Dortmund

Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.31%22.52%51.17%
Both teams to score 61.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.37%38.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07%60.93%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51%27.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01%62.99%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72%15.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01%43.99%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 26.31%
    Borussia Dortmund 51.17%
    Draw 22.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 3.5%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 1.51%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.31%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-3 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 3.87%
1-4 @ 2.82%
0-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.82%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.17%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
25.7%
Draw
17.4%
Borussia Dortmund
56.9%
144
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Zagadou (30'), Sancho (38'), Gotze (60')
Guerreiro (74')
Volland (37'), Tah (75')
Jedvaj (59'), Tah (90')
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Dortmund
Weiser (9'), Tah (39')
Wendell (88')
Bruun Larsen (65'), Reus (69'), Alcacer (86', 90')
Delaney (6')
Apr 21, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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