MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:07:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 19, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Dortmund

Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.31%22.52%51.17%
Both teams to score 61.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.37%38.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07%60.93%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51%27.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01%62.99%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72%15.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01%43.99%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 26.31%
    Borussia Dortmund 51.17%
    Draw 22.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 3.5%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 1.51%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.31%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-3 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 3.87%
1-4 @ 2.82%
0-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.82%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.17%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
25.7%
Draw
17.4%
Borussia Dortmund
56.9%
144
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Zagadou (30'), Sancho (38'), Gotze (60')
Guerreiro (74')
Volland (37'), Tah (75')
Jedvaj (59'), Tah (90')
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Dortmund
Weiser (9'), Tah (39')
Wendell (88')
Bruun Larsen (65'), Reus (69'), Alcacer (86', 90')
Delaney (6')
Apr 21, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!