Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
60.1% ( -0.01) | 20.65% ( 0) | 19.24% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.69% ( -0) | 38.31% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.4% ( -0) | 60.59% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( -0) | 12.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.7% ( -0) | 38.29% ( 0) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% | 33.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% ( 0) | 69.99% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 60.1% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |