Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern4 - 0B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Bayern
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen
We expect the international break to have helped Bayern settle down and return to winning ways against Leverkusen on Friday. The visitors undoubtedly have the offensive tools to hurt the Bavarians in transition, but they are lacking confidence themselves at present and do not generally deal with any setbacks or periods of sustained pressure very well. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
72.2% ( 0.06) | 15.83% ( -0.03) | 11.97% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
