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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Schalke

Dortmund
1 - 0
Schalke

Moukoko (79')
Modeste (45+3'), Adeyemi (83'), Can (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van den Berg (20'), Terodde (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Schalke 04

Last Six:
Last Game: Schalke 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Schalke 04

 Although the visitors should be fresher having not played in midweek, we expect Dortmund to have too much class in the Revierderby on Saturday. With Adeyemi and Malen back in the squad, Terzic has the ability to change things from the bench should things not be going his side's way, which is possible if Schalke's potentially defensive gameplan frustrates their rivals during the early stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSchalke 04
61.55% (-0.444 -0.44) 19.69% (0.163 0.16) 18.76% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 60.97% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.49% (-0.319 -0.32)34.51% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.56% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)56.44% (0.361 0.36)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.208 -0.21)10.86% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.04% (-0.464 -0.46)34.96% (0.463 0.46)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.089999999999989 0.09)31.6% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.103 0.1)68% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.55%
    Schalke 04 18.76%
    Draw 19.69%
Borussia DortmundDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.48% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.69%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.064 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 18.76%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Schalke

Borussia Dortmund
88.5%
Draw
8.7%
Schalke 04
2.9%
104
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Schalke
0-4
Dortmund

Hoppe (14'), Kolasinac (66')
Sancho (42'), Braut Haaland (45', 79'), Guerreiro (60')
Bellingham (63'), Dahoud (64')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
Schalke
Akanji (55'), Braut Haaland (61'), Hummels (78')

Mascarell (13')
> Preview
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-0
Schalke
> Preview
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
0-0
Dortmund
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2019 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-4
Schalke
Gotze (14'), Witsel (84')
Reus (60'), Wolf (65')
Caligiuri (18' pen., 62'), Sane (28'), Embolo (86')
Caligiuri (34'), Serdar (36'), Embolo (45'), McKennie (72'), Mascarell (89'), Rudy (89')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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