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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.8% ( 0.14) | 22.41% ( -0.03) | 35.79% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 67.41% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.93% ( 0.14) | 33.06% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.2% ( 0.16) | 54.8% ( -0.16) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( 0.11) | 16.59% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.61% ( 0.2) | 46.39% ( -0.2) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% ( 0.01) | 19.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% ( 0.02) | 50.86% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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