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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
SV Darmstadt

Dortmund
4 - 0
Darmstadt

Maatsen (30'), Reus (38'), Brandt (72'), Malen (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Klarer (7'), Gjasula (45'), Vilhelmsson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Hoffenheim
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 5-0 SV Darmstadt 98

 Dortmund's progression to the Champions League final has come at a cost in terms of their Bundesliga performance, but Terzic's well-rested men should end the domestic season on the highest of highs. While Darmstadt have been better on the road this term, the doomed visitors will not go gung-ho for a shock Signal Iduna Park scalp and could end up shipping a few to their esteemed counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSV Darmstadt 98
70.96% (0.15000000000001 0.15) 15.69% (0.14 0.14) 13.34% (-0.285 -0.29)
Both teams to score 63.66% (-1.566 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.41% (-1.463 -1.46)25.6% (1.469 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.31% (-1.919 -1.92)45.69% (1.925 1.93)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.55% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)6.45% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.86% (-0.875 -0.88)24.14% (0.88 0.88)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-1.436 -1.44)31.95% (1.441 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-1.673 -1.67)68.4% (1.679 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 70.97%
    SV Darmstadt 98 13.35%
    Draw 15.69%
Borussia DortmundDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 8.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.452 0.45)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 5.65% (0.426 0.43)
4-1 @ 5.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.85% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.61% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 3.16% (-0.181 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.66% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.133 -0.13)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.2% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 70.97%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.06% (0.19 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 15.69%
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.35% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Darmstadt

Borussia Dortmund
91.4%
Draw
4.9%
SV Darmstadt 98
3.7%
81
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Darmstadt
0-3
Dortmund

Maglica (51')
Brandt (24'), Reus (77'), Moukoko (90+2')
Bynoe-Gittens (3'), Maatsen (31'), Reyna (90')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2017 2.30pm
Darmstadt
2-1
Dortmund
Boyd (21'), Colak (67')
Esser (75'), Sulu (77')
Guerreiro (44')
Aubameyang (73'), Burnic (79')
Sep 17, 2016 2.30pm
Dortmund
6-0
Darmstadt
Castro (7', 78'), Ramos (48'), Pulisic (54'), Rode (84'), Mor (88')

Ben-Hatira (22'), Milosevic (32'), Hoehn (41'), Niemeyer (44'), Jungwirth (50')
Niemeyer (57')
Mar 2, 2016 7pm
Darmstadt
0-2
Dortmund
Ramos (38'), Durm (53')
Subotic (81')
Sep 27, 2015 4.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
Darmstadt
Aubameyang (63', 71')
Heller (17'), Sulu (90')
Wagner (45'), Heller (54')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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