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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
1 - 2
Dortmund

Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16'), Lindstrom (60'), Rode (90+3'), Tuta (90+5'), Trapp (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Ozcan (66'), Can (70'), Hummels (81'), Reyna (90+5'), Bellingham (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

The Bundesliga's Saturday night game should be a highly absorbing affair this weekend, with both teams playing an attractive style of football in recent weeks. In truth, with Frankfurt benefitting from home advantage, it is difficult to split them from Dortmund, so we can envisage a score draw at Deutsch Bank Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
31.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 44.01% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.209 -0.21)46.02% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.197 -0.2)68.33% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.248 -0.25)27.89% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.317 -0.32)63.5% (0.32 0.32)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 31.19%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.01%
    Draw 24.79%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Borussia Dortmund
41.2%
136
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
Dortmund
Kamada (9')
N'Dicka (41'), Kamada (47'), Rode (60'), Sow (64'), Kostic (82'), Abraham (85')
Reyna (56')
Can (88')
Feb 14, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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