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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Bayern logo

Frankfurt
5 - 1
Bayern

Marmoush (12'), Ebimbe (31', 50'), Larsson (36'), Knauff (60')
Marmoush (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kimmich (44')
Min-jae (23'), Sane (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern Munich

 Frankfurt's form has fallen off a cliff at the worst possible moment in terms of facing Germany's biggest club and strongest team. Only Freiburg and the bottom eight teams have scored fewer goals than Toppmoller's side in the Bundesliga so far this season, so we can envisage them blanking on Saturday. The same can certainly not be said for Bayern, who are outscoring every other side in Germany once again. Their defensive record of nine goals conceded in 12 games is also the best record, and they will be confident of moving top of the table with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
24.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.14% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)32.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.56% (0.012 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)25.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)60.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.1%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 24.71%
    Bayern Munich 54.27%
    Draw 21.01%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.71%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 4.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-5 @ 1.44%
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.06%
2-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.27%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Bayern

Eintracht Frankfurt
17.3%
Draw
5.8%
Bayern Munich
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-1
Frankfurt
Sane (34')
Kolo (69')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Frankfurt
1-6
Bayern
Kolo (64')
N'Dicka (59'), Kostic (71')
Kimmich (5'), Pavard (11'), Mane (29'), Musiala (35', 83'), Gnabry (43')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Frankfurt
0-1
Bayern

Lenz (32')
Sane (71')
Hernandez (32'), Kimmich (64')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bayern
1-2
Frankfurt
Goretzka (29')
Davies (50'), Upamecano (77')
Hinteregger (32'), Kostic (83')
Petter Hauge (78')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Frankfurt
2-1
Bayern
Kamada (12'), Younes (31')
Rode (56'), N'Dicka (90+2')
Lewandowski (53')
Flick (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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