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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Freiburg

Coman (12', 85'), Sane (25')
Mazraoui (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg

While Freiburg still possess plenty of talent in attacking areas, their defensive and midfield areas are undoubtedly weakened by injuries and Hofler's suspension at present, meaning we do not give them much hope of shutting Bayern out. The Bavarians have gone up a gear in attack as a result of signing England striker Kane from Tottenham Hotspur during the summer, and they should have more than enough about them to secure a comfortable win on Sunday, particularly with two days' greater rest in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
62.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 19.72% (0.317 0.32) 17.97% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.27% (-1.828 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-2.085 -2.09)36.01% (2.083 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-2.326 -2.33)58.1% (2.326 2.33)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.614 -0.61)11.1% (0.614 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.49% (-1.368 -1.37)35.51% (1.369 1.37)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (-1.585 -1.59)33.32% (1.584 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (-1.781 -1.78)69.94% (1.781 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 62.31%
    Freiburg 17.97%
    Draw 19.72%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.475 0.48)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.626 0.63)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 62.31%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.372 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
91.9%
Draw
5.4%
Freiburg
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Bayern
De Ligt (51')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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