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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Freiburg

Coman (12', 85'), Sane (25')
Mazraoui (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg

While Freiburg still possess plenty of talent in attacking areas, their defensive and midfield areas are undoubtedly weakened by injuries and Hofler's suspension at present, meaning we do not give them much hope of shutting Bayern out. The Bavarians have gone up a gear in attack as a result of signing England striker Kane from Tottenham Hotspur during the summer, and they should have more than enough about them to secure a comfortable win on Sunday, particularly with two days' greater rest in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
62.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 19.72% (0.317 0.32) 17.97% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.27% (-1.828 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-2.085 -2.09)36.01% (2.083 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-2.326 -2.33)58.1% (2.326 2.33)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.614 -0.61)11.1% (0.614 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.49% (-1.368 -1.37)35.51% (1.369 1.37)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (-1.585 -1.59)33.32% (1.584 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (-1.781 -1.78)69.94% (1.781 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 62.31%
    Freiburg 17.97%
    Draw 19.72%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.475 0.48)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.626 0.63)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 62.31%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.372 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
91.9%
Draw
5.4%
Freiburg
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Bayern
De Ligt (51')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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