Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund1 - 1Sevilla
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Sevilla
Despite the chance of a new manager bounce, Dortmund are a formidable force at home in Europe. The home side also know that victory will guarantee their qualification to the knockout stage and this should be enough motivation to see them over the line. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sevilla |
38.09% ( 0.36) | 29.04% ( 0.15) | 32.86% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
