MX23RW : Monday, May 20 03:59:16| >> :120:50963:50963:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Sevilla logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Sevilla

Bellingham (35')
Ozcan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kouassi (18')
Sampaoli (60'), Gudelj (84'), Angel Carmona (90'), Bono (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Sevilla

Despite the chance of a new manager bounce, Dortmund are a formidable force at home in Europe. The home side also know that victory will guarantee their qualification to the knockout stage and this should be enough motivation to see them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
38.09% (0.35700000000001 0.36) 29.04% (0.154 0.15) 32.86% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.51 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.84% (-0.583 -0.58)62.15% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15% (-0.43 -0.43)81.85% (0.434 0.43)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)31.53% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)67.93% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)34.99% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-0.708 -0.71)71.73% (0.712 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 38.09%
    Sevilla 32.86%
    Draw 29.04%
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.03% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 32.86%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Sevilla

Borussia Dortmund
83.0%
Draw
8.0%
Sevilla
9.0%
324
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 8pm
Group G
Sevilla
1-4
Dortmund
En-Nesyri (51')
Gudelj (3')
Guerreiro (6'), Bellingham (41'), Adeyemi (43'), Brandt (75')
Mar 9, 2021 8pm
Dortmund
2-2
Sevilla
Braut Haaland (35', 54' pen.)
Morey (20'), Braut Haaland (55'), Can (67')
En-Nesyri (69' pen., 90+6')
Acuna (40'), Kounde (51'), Jordan (55'), Oscar (71'), Fernando (76'), Carlos (77')
Feb 17, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Dortmund
Suso (7'), De Jong (84')
Oscar (88'), Lopetegui (90+5')
Dahoud (19'), Braut Haaland (27', 43')
Hummels (73'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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