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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
44.34% ( 0.04) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.99% ( 0.08) | 47% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% ( 0.07) | 69.25% ( -0.08) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( 0.05) | 21.23% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.87% ( 0.08) | 54.13% ( -0.09) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% ( 0.02) | 28.72% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% ( 0.03) | 64.54% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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