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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
51.14% | 23.66% | 25.19% |
Both teams to score 56.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% | 44.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.76% | 67.24% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.41% | 17.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.84% | 48.16% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.33% | 31.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% | 68.09% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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