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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Freiburg logo

Dortmund
5 - 1
Freiburg

Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Demirovic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Freiburg

This is a very difficult match to call, as Freiburg deserve a lot of respect for their performances and indeed results this season. Dortmund simply have to win in order to stay in touch with Bayern, though, and we are backing the home side to edge a close contest on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
65.8%18.88%15.32%
Both teams to score 56.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.89%37.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.69%59.31%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47%10.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.77%34.23%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 65.8%
    Freiburg 15.32%
    Draw 18.88%
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 7.37%
4-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-2 @ 2.06%
5-0 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.87%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.8%
1-1 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 4.87%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.32%
0-1 @ 3.87%
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.61%
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.32%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund
77.5%
Draw
14.6%
Freiburg
8.0%
213
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Grifo (6'), Sallai (53')
Demirovic (86')
Keitel (59' og.)
Malen (19'), Dahoud (34'), Akanji (61'), Guerreiro (76')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')
Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')

Chang-Hoon (57')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Dortmund
1-0
Freiburg
Sancho (15')
Can (68')
Oct 5, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Freiburg
2-2
Dortmund
Waldschmidt (55'), Burki (89' og.)
Witsel (20'), Hakimi (66')
Hummels (44'), Delaney (51'), Hakimi (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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