Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Union Berlin
Bochum will sense that they may have missed the perfect opportunity to face Union Berlin, who appear to have benefitted from making a change in management. However, the hosts have lost just one of their last nine league games at Vonovia-Ruhrstadion.
As such, we can envisage both teams settling for sharing the spoils, which may prove enough to keep both of them outside of the relegation zone depending on results elsewhere.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.47% . A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%) . The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result VfL Bochum Draw Union Berlin 47.47% ( -0.26) 24.36% 28.17% ( 0.26)
Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.19)
54.31% ( 0.16) 45.69% ( -0.16)
31.99% ( 0.15) 68.01% ( -0.16)
80.65% ( -0.04) 19.35% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.87% ( -0.07) 51.13% ( 0.07)
70.19% ( 0.27) 29.81% ( -0.28)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.11% ( 0.33) 65.88% ( -0.33)
VfL Bochum 47.47%
Union Berlin 28.17%
Draw 24.35%
VfL Bochum Draw Union Berlin 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.47% 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.35% 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.17%
How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin
VfL Bochum
Draw
Union Berlin
25
rhs 2.0
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