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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Volland (23' pen.), Hollerbach (50'), Kaufmann (75')
Juranovic (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Plea (77')
Scally (3'), Weigl (33'), Plea (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

 Although Gladbach have massively improved in recent weeks, they have only won one of six away games in the Bundesliga so far this season. On the flipside, Union Berlin have not tasted victory since late August. However, Die Eisernen have avoided defeat in three of their last four outings, and they will be desperate to deliver a victory for their new manager. We can envisage a share of the spoils, which would leave the hosts bottom of the table, but heading in the right direction once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
48.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 23.26%27.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 60.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)40.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.02%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.58% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 48.9%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 27.84%
    Draw 23.26%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.9%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Borussia M'bach

Union Berlin
36.6%
Draw
17.1%
Borussia Monchengladbach
46.3%
41
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Borussia M'bach
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> Preview
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Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
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Giesselmann (22'), Awoniyi (41')
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Hofmann (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Union Berlin
1-1
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Knoche (31')
Schlotterbeck (71')
Plea (59')
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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