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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
39.9% ( -0.02) | 26.08% ( 0.06) | 34.02% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% ( -0.23) | 50.76% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( -0.21) | 72.66% ( 0.21) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.12) | 25.03% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( -0.16) | 59.71% ( 0.16) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% ( -0.14) | 28.41% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% ( -0.17) | 64.16% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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