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Freiburg logo
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Union Berlin logo

Wolfsburg
vs.
Union Berlin

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin

Despite Wolfsburg historically flourishing in this fixture, their winless run at the Volkswagen Arena and Union conceding a mere five goals on the road (three against Bayern) point to a possible low-scoring affair on Saturday. Thus, we expect the spoils to be shared in this gameweek 11 encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 34.07% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result
WolfsburgDrawUnion Berlin
38.87% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 27.05% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 34.07% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (0.086000000000006 0.09)54.75% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.94% (0.071999999999999 0.07)76.06% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)27.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.096000000000004 0.1)30.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.115 0.12)66.53% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 38.86%
    Union Berlin 34.07%
    Draw 27.05%
WolfsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.07%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin?

Wolfsburg
Draw
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg
40.0%
Draw
36.0%
Union Berlin
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Union Berlin
1-0
Wolfsburg
Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg113351323-1012
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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