Hertha Berlin0 - 2Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Union Berlin
Hertha's relative solidity under Schwarz prior to the World Cup appears to have gone out of the window since returning to action last weekend, with disappointing defeats to VfL Bochum and Wolfsburg seeing them drop into the automatic relegation places . As such, we are struggling to see beyond a fifth consecutive victory for Union in the Berlin derby, with Fischer's side looking well set to challenge for a Champions League qualification position once again this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
30.2% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 44.16% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( -0.17) | 50.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( -0.15) | 72.06% ( 0.15) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.04) | 30.61% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.15% ( -0.05) | 66.84% ( 0.04) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.13) | 22.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.75% ( -0.2) | 56.24% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.16% |
