MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 22:31:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Hoffenheim logo

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim

With both sides in need of a win after a poor run before the break, Union's superb home form may be what gets them over the line here. With a squad of players so capable in attack, Hoffenheim have the ability to get a result, but their inconsistency means it is impossible to know what to expect from them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
51.86% (-1.274 -1.27) 24.35% (0.212 0.21) 23.78% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.592 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.173 0.17)49.12% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.157 0.16)71.19% (-0.154 -0.15)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.426 -0.43)18.92% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.717 -0.72)50.42% (0.72 0.72)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (1.068 1.07)35.17% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (1.097 1.1)71.92% (-1.096 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 51.85%
    Hoffenheim 23.78%
    Draw 24.35%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.222 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
80.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hoffenheim
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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