MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 15:19:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
Augsburg logo

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Augsburg

Weghorst (17'), Kramaric (20'), Bebou (90')
Jurasek (41'), Kaderabek (51'), Weghorst (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Demirovic (61')
Tietz (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, March 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Augsburg

While Augsburg undoubtedly come into this match with the better recent record, it is difficult to overlook their current injury list, which features several players that would make the starting 11 most weeks. Hoffenheim will likely throw everything into this match, given their current run of results, and we feel they will be able to claim a share of the spoils here against the short-handed visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
41.71% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57) 23.19% (0.521 0.52) 35.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 64.21% (-1.995 -2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (-2.607 -2.61)37.17% (2.606 2.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (-2.87 -2.87)59.37% (2.869 2.87)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-1.305 -1.31)18.31% (1.304 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-2.262 -2.26)49.4% (2.261 2.26)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (-1.169 -1.17)21.4% (1.168 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (-1.834 -1.83)54.39% (1.833 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 41.71%
    Augsburg 35.1%
    Draw 23.19%
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.557 0.56)
2-0 @ 5.65% (0.247 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 41.71%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.51 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.478 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.124 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.543 0.54)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.1%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Augsburg

Hoffenheim
51.5%
Draw
28.8%
Augsburg
19.7%
66
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
1-1
Hoffenheim
Demirovic (53')
Uduokhai (44')
Weghorst (23')
Promel (56'), Akpoguma (76')
Feb 17, 2023 7.30pm
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
1-0
Augsburg
Geiger (39')
Promel (72')

Bauer (59')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hoffenheim
3-1
Augsburg
Bebou (38', 44'), Raum (90+3')
Baumgartner (75')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Hoffenheim

Gouweleeuw (89')
Bruun Larsen (37'), Adamyan (79'), Rutter (87'), Rudy (90+5')
Raum (19'), Rudy (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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