Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 Augsburg
Darmstadt got their only away win of the season so far in the reverse fixture, and after getting a draw last weekend against the only other side they have beaten this season, Werder Bremen, another could be possible here.
Augsburg's form has hardly set the world alight in the past few months with just two wins in 10, and a recent defeat to Mainz suggests this will not be as straightforward as it appears on paper.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 38.24% . A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.7%) . The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%) . The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood .
Result SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Augsburg 38.24% ( -0.44) 24.36% ( 0.04) 37.4% ( 0.41)
Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.13)
57.39% ( -0.18) 42.61% ( 0.18)
34.99% ( -0.18) 65.01% ( 0.18)
77.75% ( -0.3) 22.25% ( 0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.32% ( -0.45) 55.68% ( 0.46)
77.33% ( 0.13) 22.67% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.68% ( 0.19) 56.32% ( -0.19)
SV Darmstadt 98 38.24%
Augsburg 37.4%
Draw 24.36%
SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Augsburg 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.24% 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.36% 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.4%
How you voted: Darmstadt vs Augsburg
SV Darmstadt 98
Draw
Augsburg
37
rhs 2.0
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