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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hoffenheim

 Dortmund may have drawn three of their last four competitive matches, but they have won each of their previous six meetings with Hoffenheim, and we think that they will do enough to beat a side that have lost four of their last five away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
67.69% (0.32299999999999 0.32) 16.83% (-0.129 -0.13) 15.48% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.59% (0.247 0.25)26.41% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.26% (0.313 0.31)46.74% (-0.315 -0.31)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (0.126 0.13)7.26% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (0.327 0.33)26.3% (-0.328 -0.33)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)29.91% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)66.01% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.69%
    Hoffenheim 15.48%
    Draw 16.83%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.17% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 3.12% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.71% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 67.69%
1-1 @ 6.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.83%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
93.9%
Draw
4.5%
Hoffenheim
1.5%
66
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Dortmund
Brandt (43')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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