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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Augsburg has a probability of 26.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Augsburg win is 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
49.3% ( 0.53) | 24.22% ( -0.05) | 26.47% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.73% ( -0.16) | 46.27% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( -0.15) | 68.56% ( 0.15) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( 0.15) | 18.83% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% ( 0.25) | 50.27% ( -0.25) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.46) | 31.38% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( -0.53) | 67.76% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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