MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 17:01:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Augsburg logo

Mainz
1 - 0
Augsburg

van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Augsburg

Mainz have been very poor this season and look destined for the drop unless they can manage a major turnaround in the second half of the league campaign. However, having recorded only one victory in 21 matches to date, it is difficult to make much of a case for them in this one. This will certainly not be an easy match for Augsburg, but we are backing them to claim the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Augsburg has a probability of 26.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Augsburg win is 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
49.3% (0.526 0.53) 24.22% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 26.47% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73% (-0.16 -0.16)46.27% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.152 -0.15)68.56% (0.148 0.15)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.149 0.15)18.83% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.249 0.25)50.27% (-0.252 -0.25)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.458 -0.46)31.38% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.532 -0.53)67.76% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 49.3%
    Augsburg 26.47%
    Draw 24.22%
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.095 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.47%

How you voted: Mainz vs Augsburg

Mainz 05
31.0%
Draw
31.0%
Augsburg
37.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Demirovic (15', 45')
Dorsch (90+1'), Beljo (90+5')
Engels (62')
Ajorque (6')
Gruda (74'), Zentner (77'), Jae-sung (90+7')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
3-1
Augsburg
Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')
Demirovic (28' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')
Apr 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mainz
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg147342019124
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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