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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
49.33% ( 0.12) | 21.06% ( -0.02) | 29.61% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 69.77% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.11% ( 0.05) | 28.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.15% ( 0.05) | 49.85% ( -0.05) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.6% ( 0.05) | 12.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.72% ( 0.1) | 38.28% ( -0.1) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( -0.03) | 20.36% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.24% ( -0.05) | 52.76% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.57% 0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.06% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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