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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Nkunku (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rudy (62'), Akpoguma (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

Both sides will be keen to quickly bounce back from setbacks last weekend and put together another good run of form heading down the home straight to ensure that they meet their respective top-flight targets. Having already beaten Hoffenheim twice this season by an aggregate score of 6-2, Leipzig will be regarded as favourites to come out on top on Saturday and they should have too much for the visitors in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
68.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 18.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 13.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.26% (0.013000000000005 0.01)36.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1% (0.015999999999998 0.02)58.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.19% (0.0039999999999907 0)9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.42% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 68.3%
    Hoffenheim 13.67%
    Draw 18.02%
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 68.3%
1-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56%
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.02%
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig
78.4%
Draw
2.7%
Hoffenheim
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
Angelino (34'), Tohumcu (40'), Nsoki (58')
Nsoki (86')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Geiger (13')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
2-0
RB Leipzig
Samassekou (12'), Dabour (68')
Grillitsch (42'), Nordtveit (90+3')

Silva (35'), Angelino (84')
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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