MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 17:44:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Nkunku (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rudy (62'), Akpoguma (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

Both sides will be keen to quickly bounce back from setbacks last weekend and put together another good run of form heading down the home straight to ensure that they meet their respective top-flight targets. Having already beaten Hoffenheim twice this season by an aggregate score of 6-2, Leipzig will be regarded as favourites to come out on top on Saturday and they should have too much for the visitors in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
68.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 18.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 13.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.26% (0.013000000000005 0.01)36.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1% (0.015999999999998 0.02)58.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.19% (0.0039999999999907 0)9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.42% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 68.3%
    Hoffenheim 13.67%
    Draw 18.02%
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 68.3%
1-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56%
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.02%
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig
78.4%
Draw
2.7%
Hoffenheim
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
Angelino (34'), Tohumcu (40'), Nsoki (58')
Nsoki (86')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Geiger (13')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
2-0
RB Leipzig
Samassekou (12'), Dabour (68')
Grillitsch (42'), Nordtveit (90+3')

Silva (35'), Angelino (84')
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!