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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
VfL Bochum

FC Koln
2 - 1
VfL Bochum

Tigges (90'), Waldschmidt (90+2')
Martel (25'), Selke (37'), Thielmann (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Passlack (53')
Broschinski (35'), Asano (68'), Losilla (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, March 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Darmstadt
Sunday, March 31 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 VfL Bochum

 Saturday's game is somewhat tricky to call as the low-scoring hosts have been beaten in three consecutive home games, while the visitors have lost five of their last six games, halting that pitiful sequence last weekend against cellar-dwelling Darmstadt. Thus, a draw could be on the cards when these out-of-form clubs battle at RheinEnergieStadion this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Koln in this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawVfL Bochum
60.87% (-0.305 -0.31) 20.86% (0.142 0.14) 18.26% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.74% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.1% (-0.379 -0.38)40.9% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.71% (-0.389 -0.39)63.29% (0.387 0.39)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)12.99% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (-0.424 -0.42)39.51% (0.423 0.42)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)35.94% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.28% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.72% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 60.87%
    VfL Bochum 18.26%
    Draw 20.86%
FC KolnDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: FC Koln vs VfL Bochum

FC Koln
48.6%
Draw
48.6%
VfL Bochum
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
VfL Bochum
1-1
FC Koln
Daschner (25')
Hofmann (33'), Masovic (40'), Daschner (77'), Bernardo (90')
Selke (54')
Thielmann (89')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
FC Koln
0-2
VfL Bochum
Stoger (9' pen.), Masovic (76')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
VfL Bochum
1-1
FC Koln
Schmitz (9' og.)
Maina (88')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
VfL Bochum
2-2
FC Koln
Holtmann (25'), Asano (70')
Hubers (36'), Modeste (45')
Hector (60'), Horn (85'), Uth (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
FC Koln
2-1
VfL Bochum
Schaub (82'), Lemperle (90+1')
Mere (27'), Duda (38')
Zoller (90+4')
Zoller (55')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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