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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Werder Bremen |
49.09% ( -0.02) | 24.14% ( 0.01) | 26.77% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.24% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( -0.03) | 45.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% ( -0.03) | 67.99% ( 0.03) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% ( -0.01) | 18.68% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.98% ( -0.03) | 50.02% ( 0.03) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0) | 30.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -0.01) | 67.13% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Werder Bremen |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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