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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Leverkusen logo

FC Koln
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Ljubicic (16'), Martel (30')
Thielmann (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Frimpong (37'), Grimaldo (73')
Frimpong (23'), Stanisic (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Nothing can stop Leverkusen at the moment, as even when they are off-colour they are still picking up results, as they did against Mainz last time out, and another win is on the cards. Koln have not beaten a side at the top of the Bundesliga in their last 23 attempts, and they have shown little signs of changing that heading into this one, despite a respectable draw last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
18.88% (-1.117 -1.12) 21.84% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1) 59.28% (1.216 1.22)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-1.611 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-1.202 -1.2)44.31% (1.203 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (-1.178 -1.18)66.68% (1.179 1.18)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-1.876 -1.88)37.27% (1.876 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (-1.9 -1.9)74.06% (1.902 1.9)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)42.65% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 18.88%
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.27%
    Draw 21.83%
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.88%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.279 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.528 0.53)
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.503 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.322 0.32)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.11% (0.154 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.059 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 59.27%

How you voted: FC Koln vs B. Leverkusen

FC Koln
5.7%
Draw
9.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
85.2%
88
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
B. Leverkusen
3-0
FC Koln
Hofmann (22'), Frimpong (32'), Okoh Boniface (67')
Frimpong (23'), Tapsoba (45+3'), Tah (61'), Alonso (66')

Baumgart (24')
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
1-2
FC Koln
Adli (28')
Selke (14', 36')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
FC Koln
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Schmitz (30')
Amiri (65'), Diaby (71')
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
B. Leverkusen
0-1
FC Koln

Palacios (45+1'), Demirbay (90+2')
Schindler (67')
Skhiri (52'), Schmitz (65')
Oct 24, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
FC Koln
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Modeste (63', 82')
Uth (36')
Schick (15'), Bellarabi (17')
Demirbay (43'), Diaby (65'), Andrich (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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