MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 16:39:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg

We expect Leipzig to record their first victory of the season on Saturday, with Wolfsburg lacking sharpness in transition to significantly hurt the home side. Tedesco's side have been dominating games without testing opposition goalkeepers enough, but that should change in front of an expectant Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
64.85% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.4% (-0.131 -0.13) 15.74% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.199 -0.2)38.73% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)61.04% (0.205 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.079999999999998 0.08)11.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.2% (0.178 0.18)35.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (-0.618 -0.62)37.59% (0.615 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (-0.612 -0.61)74.37% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.85%
    Wolfsburg 15.74%
    Draw 19.4%
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 64.85%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.74%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
89.5%
Draw
8.8%
Wolfsburg
1.8%
57
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
May 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Wolfsburg
Kluivert (51'), Sabitzer (78' pen.)
Henrichs (20'), Konate (36'), Sabitzer (45')
Philipp (12', 45+1')
Mbabu (52'), Arnold (60'), Baku (86')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Weghorst (22'), Steffen (35')
Otavio (48'), Mbabu (50'), Weghorst (59'), Lacroix (81')
Mukiele (5'), Orban (54')
Mukiele (42'), Kampl (71'), Angelino (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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