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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
15.02% | 18.3% ( -0) | 66.68% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.05% ( 0.01) | 34.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.07% ( 0.01) | 56.93% ( -0) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% ( 0) | 36.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( 0) | 72.9% ( 0) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.28% ( 0) | 9.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.64% ( 0.01) | 32.36% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 4.24% 1-0 @ 3.57% 2-0 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.02% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.3% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.55% 0-3 @ 7.41% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.37% Total : 66.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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