MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:21:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Bayern

Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 4-4 Salzburg
Friday, January 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayern Munich

On the return of German football, this has the potential to be one of the games of the season, but both sides have injury worries concerning some very important players. Bayern often have the edge over Leipzig having only lost to them once since the Red Bull-owned club were promoted in 2016, and a win here would be huge for their title credentials. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-3 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
18.11% (-0.511 -0.51) 18.96% (0.653 0.65) 62.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 62.52% (-3.7 -3.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.02% (-4.205 -4.21)31.97% (4.202 4.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.46% (-5.078 -5.08)53.53% (5.075 5.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-3.127 -3.13)30.7% (3.123 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-3.852 -3.85)66.96% (3.85 3.85)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22% (-1.219 -1.22)9.77% (1.214 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.49% (-2.908 -2.91)32.5% (2.903 2.9)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 18.11%
    Bayern Munich 62.93%
    Draw 18.96%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 3.54% (0.503 0.5)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-0 @ 2.09% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 18.11%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.766 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 3% (0.64 0.64)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.355 -0.36)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.96%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.394 0.39)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.982 0.98)
1-3 @ 7.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.98% (1.176 1.18)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.445 0.44)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.463 -0.46)
1-4 @ 4.32% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-4 @ 3.66% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.55% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-5 @ 2.01% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 62.93%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
19.9%
Draw
14.4%
Bayern Munich
65.7%
277
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Bayern
3-3
RB Leipzig
Musiala (30'), Muller (34', 75')
Nkunku (19'), Kluivert (36'), Forsberg (48')
Mukiele (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!