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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Bayern

Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 4-4 Salzburg
Friday, January 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayern Munich

On the return of German football, this has the potential to be one of the games of the season, but both sides have injury worries concerning some very important players. Bayern often have the edge over Leipzig having only lost to them once since the Red Bull-owned club were promoted in 2016, and a win here would be huge for their title credentials. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-3 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
18.11% (-0.511 -0.51) 18.96% (0.653 0.65) 62.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 62.52% (-3.7 -3.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.02% (-4.205 -4.21)31.97% (4.202 4.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.46% (-5.078 -5.08)53.53% (5.075 5.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-3.127 -3.13)30.7% (3.123 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-3.852 -3.85)66.96% (3.85 3.85)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22% (-1.219 -1.22)9.77% (1.214 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.49% (-2.908 -2.91)32.5% (2.903 2.9)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 18.11%
    Bayern Munich 62.93%
    Draw 18.96%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 3.54% (0.503 0.5)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-0 @ 2.09% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 18.11%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.766 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 3% (0.64 0.64)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.355 -0.36)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.96%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.394 0.39)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.982 0.98)
1-3 @ 7.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.98% (1.176 1.18)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.445 0.44)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.463 -0.46)
1-4 @ 4.32% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-4 @ 3.66% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.55% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-5 @ 2.01% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 62.93%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
19.9%
Draw
14.4%
Bayern Munich
65.7%
277
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Bayern
3-3
RB Leipzig
Musiala (30'), Muller (34', 75')
Nkunku (19'), Kluivert (36'), Forsberg (48')
Mukiele (51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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