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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Augsburg |
58.34% ( 0.04) | 21.8% ( -0.01) | 19.86% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% ( 0.02) | 42.72% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.88% ( 0.02) | 65.12% ( -0.02) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( 0.02) | 14.35% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.79% ( 0.04) | 42.21% ( -0.04) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.02) | 35.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.93% ( -0.02) | 72.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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