Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.