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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
SV Darmstadt

Stuttgart
3 - 1
SV Darmstadt 98

Millot (22'), Guirassy (32', 90+2')
Undav (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zagadou (17' og.)
Pfeiffer (8'), Lieberknecht (9'), Holland (45+1'), Riedel (62'), Skarke (71'), Stojilkovic (77'), Schnellhardt (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98

Stuttgart have every reason to feel optimistic of claiming maximum points on Friday considering their strong start to the new season. Darmstadt know what it takes to beat Die Roten on the road after coming away from the Mercedes-Benz Arena victorious in their last visit, albeit three years ago, but we expect the in-form hosts to claim a comfortable win this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Stuttgart in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stuttgart.

Result
StuttgartDrawSV Darmstadt 98
51.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 22.99% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 25.22% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)41.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.22% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)16.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)45.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)30.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.13%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 51.79%
    SV Darmstadt 98 25.22%
    Draw 22.98%
StuttgartDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98

Stuttgart
88.2%
Draw
7.5%
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3%
93
Head to Head
Jun 28, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-3
SV Darmstadt 98
Mangala (46'), Churlinov (63')
Palsson (65'), Dumic (68'), Dursun (73')
Palsson (66')
Dec 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
SV Darmstadt 98
1-1
Stuttgart
Kempe (20')
Holland (47')
Sosa (45')
Ascacibar (40'), Wamangituka (47'), Al Ghaddioui (75'), Endo (85'), Forster (87')
Apr 2, 2016 2.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
2-2
Stuttgart
Wagner (26'), Gondorf (52')
Niemeyer (62'), Jungwirth (70'), Rausch (88'), Heller (90')
Gentner (45'), Rupp (45')
Klein (90')
Nov 1, 2015 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
SV Darmstadt 98
Garics (68' og.), Werner (94')
Tyton (33'), Die (54'), Klein (58')

Garics (61'), Diaz (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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