Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz1 - 3Stuttgart
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-0 Mainz
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Stuttgart
Stuttgart have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend with six wins in their last seven matches across all competitions. Hoeness's men take on a floundering Mainz side who have struggled for results this season and we fancy them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
32.43% ( 0.02) | 25.04% ( -0) | 42.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
