MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:39:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Freiburg logo

Stuttgart
5 - 0
Freiburg

Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Philipp (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 1-3 Freiburg

Stuttgart showed fine form in thrashing Bochum on the opening day, but the problems that linger were exposed by Leipzig last week. Freiburg completed a league double over Stuttgart and finished 26 points ahead of them last season to emphasise the gulf in class, and not much has changed since, so a similar outcome is expected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
47.61% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 28.43% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.012 -0.01)66.1% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)18.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)49.73% (0.058 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)28.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.4% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.61%
    Freiburg 28.43%
    Draw 23.95%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.61%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.43%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
26.6%
Draw
10.9%
Freiburg
62.5%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!