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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Freiburg logo

Stuttgart
5 - 0
Freiburg

Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Philipp (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-3 Freiburg

 Stuttgart showed fine form in thrashing Bochum on the opening day, but the problems that linger were exposed by Leipzig last week. Freiburg completed a league double over Stuttgart and finished 26 points ahead of them last season to emphasise the gulf in class, and not much has changed since, so a similar outcome is expected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
47.61% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 28.43% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.012 -0.01)66.1% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)18.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)49.73% (0.058 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)28.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.4% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.61%
    Freiburg 28.43%
    Draw 23.95%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.61%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.43%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
26.6%
Draw
10.9%
Freiburg
62.5%
64
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> Preview
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> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
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Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-3
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Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
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Schade (89')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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