MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 21:43:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Freiburg logo

Stuttgart
5 - 0
Freiburg

Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Philipp (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 5-1 Stuttgart
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-3 Freiburg

 Stuttgart showed fine form in thrashing Bochum on the opening day, but the problems that linger were exposed by Leipzig last week. Freiburg completed a league double over Stuttgart and finished 26 points ahead of them last season to emphasise the gulf in class, and not much has changed since, so a similar outcome is expected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
47.61% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 28.43% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.012 -0.01)66.1% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)18.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)49.73% (0.058 0.06)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)28.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.4% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.61%
    Freiburg 28.43%
    Draw 23.95%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.61%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.43%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
26.6%
Draw
10.9%
Freiburg
62.5%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
4 6 6
6 0 2
Result
Keys
Jabeur
0 7 6
6 5 1
Result
Medvedev
Bublik
77 6
63 4
Result
Rublev
Griekspoor
6 6
2 4
Result
Hurkacz
Fritz
62 4
77 6
Result
Cerundolo
Zverev
6 6
3 4
Result
Sinner
Khachanov
5 6 6
7 3 3
Result
Struff
Alcaraz
3 77 64
6 65 77
Result
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
6 7
4 5
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!