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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
44.62% ( -0.02) | 22.68% ( 0.01) | 32.7% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 65.33% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.62% ( -0.03) | 35.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.59% ( -0.04) | 57.41% ( 0.04) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.58% ( -0.02) | 16.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.91% ( -0.03) | 46.09% ( 0.04) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.01) | 21.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% ( -0.02) | 55.06% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 32.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
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