Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Merreikh win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Al-Nasr had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Merreikh win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.72%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.97%), while for an Al-Nasr win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Merreikh would win this match.