MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 01:31:16| >> :120:13847:13847:
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Lazio logo

Atletico
2 - 0
Lazio

Griezmann (6'), Lino (51')
Gimenez (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedro (8'), Marusic (47'), Guendouzi (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Lazio

A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Wednesday, just like the reverse fixture three months ago, although Atletico will be regarded as the favourites to win on home soil. Considering Atletico's solid home form and Lazio's recent troubles on the road, we believe that Simeone's men will do enough to grind out a slender win in front of their own fans and secure top spot in Group E. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLazio
55.41% (-0.536 -0.54) 23.04% (0.602 0.6) 21.55% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.93% (-2.105 -2.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06% (-2.747 -2.75)45.94% (2.744 2.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (-2.657 -2.66)68.25% (2.653 2.65)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (-1.147 -1.15)16.43% (1.143 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89% (-2.109 -2.11)46.1% (2.105 2.11)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (-1.613 -1.61)35.47% (1.609 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76% (-1.708 -1.71)72.23% (1.704 1.7)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 55.4%
    Lazio 21.55%
    Draw 23.03%
Atletico MadridDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.799 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.375 0.38)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.72% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.278 -0.28)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.186 -0.19)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 55.4%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.652 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.435 0.44)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.55%

How you voted: Atletico vs Lazio

Atletico Madrid
82.4%
Draw
13.4%
Lazio
4.2%
142
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Lazio
1-1
Atletico
Provedel (90+5')
Sarri (36'), Patric (83'), Immobile (84')
Barrios (29')
Simeone (21'), Griezmann (26'), Lino (67'), Correa (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!