Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio0 - 0Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Feyenoord
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Lazio 0-1 Roma
Even if this edition of the derby is level late on, all is not over until the final whistle sounds: Roma have scored the most goals (nine) during the final 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season; Lazio have found the net just twice during the same time period. They may not employ Maurizio Sarri's intricate passing patterns, but Jose Mourinho's men never know when they are beaten - and one goal could be enough to seal an overdue success against their capital-city rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Roma |
43.52% ( -0.01) | 28.29% ( 0.07) | 28.18% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.24) | 60.92% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( -0.18) | 80.93% ( 0.18) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( -0.12) | 27.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.16) | 63.4% ( 0.16) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.18) | 37.88% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.34% ( -0.17) | 74.65% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 43.52%
Roma 28.17%
Draw 28.28%
| Lazio | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.17% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Roma
Lazio
35.1%Draw
31.2%Roma
33.8%77
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 5pm
Nov 6, 2022 5pm
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Lazio
May 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Roma
2-0
Lazio
