MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 02:55:48| >> :120:6384:6384:
Lazio logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atletico Madrid logo

Lazio
1 - 1
Atletico

Provedel (90+5')
Sarri (36'), Patric (83'), Immobile (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barrios (29')
Simeone (21'), Griezmann (26'), Lino (67'), Correa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Lazio
Saturday, September 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Atletico
Saturday, September 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Lazio 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Both teams have suffered tough defeats following the international period, so confidence will not be sky-high in either camp. Lazio's sluggish start to the new season has come as something of a surprise, but their defensive instability could see Atletico sneak a valuable first-day away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAtletico Madrid
42.64% (-0.208 -0.21) 27.62% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 29.74% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03% (-0.102 -0.1)57.97% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)78.66% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (-0.158 -0.16)26.89% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (-0.207 -0.21)62.21% (0.204 0.2)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95% (0.069000000000003 0.07)35.05% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (0.073999999999998 0.07)71.79% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 42.63%
    Atletico Madrid 29.74%
    Draw 27.61%
LazioDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Lazio vs Atletico

Lazio
13.2%
Draw
28.3%
Atletico Madrid
58.5%
205
rhs 2.0
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