Atletico3 - 2Feyenoord
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
for
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Feyenoord
As Atletico Madrid have won just one of their last 11 home matches in the Champions League - drawing on no less than seven occasions - something must change soon or they risk a second straight group exit. With fearless Feyenoord lacking their star striker due to suspension, a window of opportunity now presents itself, so Simeone's men can edge to victory by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Feyenoord |
39.1% ( 0.83) | 24.99% ( -0.09) | 35.91% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
