Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica1 - 1PSG
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The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Paris Saint-Germain.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Benfica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Benfica
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nice
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Benfica 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
It may require a moment of magic to decide this contest between two unbeaten heavyweights, both of whom underwhelmed at the weekend, and Benfica are not to be taken lightly on home turf. While PSG's defence is prone to the odd loss of concentration, Galtier's front three are capable of conjuring up game-defining moments on a whim, and we expect the French champions to just about edge a tight contest in Lisbon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
40.44% ( -0.03) | 22.12% ( 0.04) | 37.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.85% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.69% ( -0.2) | 31.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.25% ( -0.24) | 52.75% ( 0.24) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.1) | 16.39% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.96% ( -0.18) | 46.04% ( 0.18) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( -0.09) | 17.65% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.16) | 48.26% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 40.44%
Paris Saint-Germain 37.44%
Draw 22.12%
| Benfica | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.44% |
How you voted: Benfica vs PSG
Benfica
19.3%Draw
12.9%Paris Saint-Germain
67.8%566
Form Guide
Build-up
Kylian Mbappe out to set new PSG goalscoring record in Champions League
Kylian Mbappe sets out to become Paris Saint-Germain's record goalscorer in the Champions League when the Ligue 1 champions face Benfica on Wednesday in Group H.
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How Paris Saint-Germain could line up against Benfica
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Benfica.
2 years ago
